Resurgence of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus in Egypt following two years of decline during the COVID-19 pandemic: outpatient clinic survey of infants and children, October 2022.

INTRODUCTION: Two years after unprecedented low rates of circulation of most common respiratory viruses (SARS-CoV-2), the Egyptian ARI surveillance system detected an increase in acute respiratory infections (ARIs) with a reduced circulation of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), especially among school children. A national survey was conducted to estimate the burden and identify the viral causes of ARIs among children < 16 years of age. METHODS: A one-day survey was carried out in 98 governmental outpatient clinics distributed all over Egypt 26 governorates. The four largest referral hospitals in each governorate where most influenza-like illness (ILI) patients seek care were selected. Using the WHO case definition, the first five patients < 16 years of age with ILI symptoms visiting the selected outpatient clinics on the survey day were enrolled. Basic demographic and clinical data of patients were collected using a linelist. Patients were swabbed and tested for SARS-CoV-2, influenza, and Respiratory Syncytial virus (RSV) by RT-PCR at the Central Laboratory in Cairo. RESULTS: Overall, 530 patients enrolled, their mean age was 5.8 ± 4.2, 57.1% were males, and 70.2% reside in rural or semi-rural areas. Of all patients, 134 (25.3%) had influenza, 111 (20.9%) RSV, and 14 (2.8%) coinfections. Influenza-positive children were older compared to RSV, (7.2 ± 4.1, 4.3 ± 4.1, p < 0.001), with more than half of them (53.0%) being school students. Dyspnea was reported in RSV more than in influenza (62.2% vs. 49.3%, p < 0.05). Among RSV patients, children < 2 years had a higher rate of dyspnea than others (86.7% vs. 53.1%, < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: A resurgence of influenza and RSV was detected in Egypt in the 2022-2023 winter season. Influenza caused a higher rate of infection than RSV, while RSV caused more severe symptoms than influenza. Monitoring a broader range of respiratory pathogens is recommended to estimate the ARI burden and risky groups for severe disease in Egypt.

Clinical features and severe outcome predictors of COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough infection among hospitalized patients: results from Egypt severe acute respiratory infections sentinel surveillance, 2021–2022

Background COVID-19 vaccines are effective against infections and outcomes;however, breakthrough infections (VBT) are increasingly reported, possibly due to waning of vaccine-induced immunity or emerging variants. Most studies have focused on determining VBT rate based on antibody levels. This study aims at describing clinical features, risks, time trends, and outcomes of COVID-19 VBT among hospitalized patients in Egypt. Methods Data of SARS-CoV-2 confirmed patients hospitalized in 16 hospitals was obtained from the severe acute respiratory infections surveillance database, September 2021-April 2022. Data includes patients' demographics, clinical picture, and outcomes. Descriptive analysis was performed and patients with VBT were compared to not fully vaccinated (UPV). Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed using Epi Info7 with a significance level < 0.05 to identify VBT risk factors. Results Overall, 1,297 patients enrolled, their mean age 56.7 ± 17.0 years, 41.5% were males, 64.7% received inactivated, 25.% viral vector, and 7.7% mRNA vaccine. VBT was identified in 156(12.0%) patients with an increasing trend over time. VBT significantly was higher in (16–35 years) age, males, in those who received inactivated vaccine compared to corresponding groups of UPV (14.1 vs. 9.0%, p < 0.05 and 57.1 vs. 39.4%, p < 0.001 and 64.7 vs. 45.1, p < 0.01 respectively). Whereas receiving mRNA vaccine was significantly protective against VBT (7.7 vs. 21.6%, p < 001). VBT patients tend to have shorter hospital stays and lower case fatality (mean hospital days = 6.6 ± 5.5 vs. 7.9 ± 5.9, p < 0.01 and CFR = 28.2 vs. 33.1, p < 0.01 respectively). MVA identified younger ages, male gender, and inactivated vaccines as risks for VBT. Conclusion The study indicated that COVID-19 vaccines significantly reduce hospital days and fatality. VBT trend is on the rise and males, young ages, and inactivated vaccine receivers are at higher risk. Caution regarding relaxation of personal preventive measures in areas with higher or increasing incidences of COVID-19, particularly for the at-risk group even if they are vaccinated. The vaccination strategy should be revised to reduce VBT rate and increase vaccine effectiveness.

COVID-19 vaccination coverage in Egypt: a large-scale national survey – to help achieving vaccination target, March-May, 2022

Background Only 57 countries have vaccinated 70% of their population against COVID-19, most of them in high-income countries, whereas almost one billion people in low-income countries remained unvaccinated. In March–May 2022, Egypt's Ministry of Health and Population (MoHP) conducted a nationwide community-based survey to determine COVID-19 vaccine coverage and people's perceptions of vaccination in order to improve COVID-19 vaccination uptake and confidence among Egyptians, as well as to prioritize interventions. Methods A cross-sectional population-based household survey among Egyptians ≥ 18 years of age was implemented in two phases using a multistage random sampling technique in all of Egypt's 27 governorates. A sample of 18,000 subjects divided into 450 clusters of 20 households each was calculated in proportion to each governorate and the main occupation of the population. Participants were interviewed using a semistructured questionnaire that included demographics, vaccination information from the vaccination card, history of COVID-19 infection, reasons for vaccine refusal among the unvaccinated, and vaccination experience among vaccinated subjects. Vaccination coverage rates were calculated by dividing numbers by the total number of participants. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed by comparing the vaccinated and unvaccinated to identify the risk factors for low vaccine uptake. Results Overall 18,107 were interviewed, their mean age was 42 ± 16 years and 58.8% were females. Of them, 8,742 (48.3%) had COVID-19 vaccine and 8,020 (44.3%) were fully vaccinated. Factors associated with low vaccination uptake by multivariate analysis included: age groups (18–29 and 30–39) (ORs 2.0 (95% C.I. 1.8–2.2) and 1.3 (95% C.I.1.2–1.4), respectively), residences in urban or frontier governorates (ORs 1.6 (95% C.I. 1.5–1.8) and 1.2 (95% C.I. 1.1–1.4), respectively), housewives and self-employed people (ORs 1.3 (95% C.I. 1.2–1.4) and 1.2 (95% C.I. 1.1–1.4), respectively), married people (ORs 1.3 (95% C.I. 1.2–1.4), and primary and secondary educated (ORs 1.1 (95% C.I. 1.01–1.2) and 1.1(1.04–1.2) respectively). Vaccine hesitancy was due to fear of adverse events (17.5%), mistrust of vaccine (10.2%), concern over safety during pregnancy and lactation (6.9%), and chronic diseases (5.0%). Conclusions Survey identified lower vaccination coverage in Egypt compared to the WHO 70% target. Communication programs targeting the groups with low vaccine uptake are needed to eliminate barriers related to vaccination convenience, side effects, and safety to effectively promote vaccine uptake. Findings from the survey could contribute significantly to vaccination promotion by guiding decision-making efforts on the risky groups and preventing vaccine hesitancy.

Clinical features and severe outcome predictors of COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough infection among hospitalized patients: results from Egypt severe acute respiratory infections sentinel surveillance, 2021-2022.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 vaccines are effective against infections and outcomes; however, breakthrough infections (VBT) are increasingly reported, possibly due to waning of vaccine-induced immunity or emerging variants. Most studies have focused on determining VBT rate based on antibody levels. This study aims at describing clinical features, risks, time trends, and outcomes of COVID-19 VBT among hospitalized patients in Egypt. METHODS: Data of SARS-CoV-2 confirmed patients hospitalized in 16 hospitals was obtained from the severe acute respiratory infections surveillance database, September 2021-April 2022. Data includes patients' demographics, clinical picture, and outcomes. Descriptive analysis was performed and patients with VBT were compared to not fully vaccinated (UPV). Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed using Epi Info7 with a significance level < 0.05 to identify VBT risk factors. RESULTS: Overall, 1,297 patients enrolled, their mean age 56.7 ± 17.0 years, 41.5% were males, 64.7% received inactivated, 25.% viral vector, and 7.7% mRNA vaccine. VBT was identified in 156(12.0%) patients with an increasing trend over time. VBT significantly was higher in (16-35 years) age, males, in those who received inactivated vaccine compared to corresponding groups of UPV (14.1 vs. 9.0%, p < 0.05 and 57.1 vs. 39.4%, p < 0.001 and 64.7 vs. 45.1, p < 0.01 respectively). Whereas receiving mRNA vaccine was significantly protective against VBT (7.7 vs. 21.6%, p < 001). VBT patients tend to have shorter hospital stays and lower case fatality (mean hospital days = 6.6 ± 5.5 vs. 7.9 ± 5.9, p < 0.01 and CFR = 28.2 vs. 33.1, p < 0.01 respectively). MVA identified younger ages, male gender, and inactivated vaccines as risks for VBT. CONCLUSION: The study indicated that COVID-19 vaccines significantly reduce hospital days and fatality. VBT trend is on the rise and males, young ages, and inactivated vaccine receivers are at higher risk. Caution regarding relaxation of personal preventive measures in areas with higher or increasing incidences of COVID-19, particularly for the at-risk group even if they are vaccinated. The vaccination strategy should be revised to reduce VBT rate and increase vaccine effectiveness.

COVID-19 vaccination coverage in Egypt: a large-scale national survey - to help achieving vaccination target, March-May, 2022.

BACKGROUND: Only 57 countries have vaccinated 70% of their population against COVID-19, most of them in high-income countries, whereas almost one billion people in low-income countries remained unvaccinated. In March-May 2022, Egypt's Ministry of Health and Population (MoHP) conducted a nationwide community-based survey to determine COVID-19 vaccine coverage and people's perceptions of vaccination in order to improve COVID-19 vaccination uptake and confidence among Egyptians, as well as to prioritize interventions. METHODS: A cross-sectional population-based household survey among Egyptians ≥ 18 years of age was implemented in two phases using a multistage random sampling technique in all of Egypt's 27 governorates. A sample of 18,000 subjects divided into 450 clusters of 20 households each was calculated in proportion to each governorate and the main occupation of the population. Participants were interviewed using a semistructured questionnaire that included demographics, vaccination information from the vaccination card, history of COVID-19 infection, reasons for vaccine refusal among the unvaccinated, and vaccination experience among vaccinated subjects. Vaccination coverage rates were calculated by dividing numbers by the total number of participants. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed by comparing the vaccinated and unvaccinated to identify the risk factors for low vaccine uptake. RESULTS: Overall 18,107 were interviewed, their mean age was 42 ± 16 years and 58.8% were females. Of them, 8,742 (48.3%) had COVID-19 vaccine and 8,020 (44.3%) were fully vaccinated. Factors associated with low vaccination uptake by multivariate analysis included: age groups (18-29 and 30-39) (ORs 2.0 (95% C.I. 1.8-2.2) and 1.3 (95% C.I.1.2-1.4), respectively), residences in urban or frontier governorates (ORs 1.6 (95% C.I. 1.5-1.8) and 1.2 (95% C.I. 1.1-1.4), respectively), housewives and self-employed people (ORs 1.3 (95% C.I. 1.2-1.4) and 1.2 (95% C.I. 1.1-1.4), respectively), married people (ORs 1.3 (95% C.I. 1.2-1.4), and primary and secondary educated (ORs 1.1 (95% C.I. 1.01-1.2) and 1.1(1.04-1.2) respectively). Vaccine hesitancy was due to fear of adverse events (17.5%), mistrust of vaccine (10.2%), concern over safety during pregnancy and lactation (6.9%), and chronic diseases (5.0%). CONCLUSIONS: Survey identified lower vaccination coverage in Egypt compared to the WHO 70% target. Communication programs targeting the groups with low vaccine uptake are needed to eliminate barriers related to vaccination convenience, side effects, and safety to effectively promote vaccine uptake. Findings from the survey could contribute significantly to vaccination promotion by guiding decision-making efforts on the risky groups and preventing vaccine hesitancy.

Adapting an integrated acute respiratory infections sentinel surveillance to the COVID-19 pandemic requirements, Egypt, 2020-2022.

Objectives: In Egypt, an integrated surveillance for acute respiratory infections (ARIs) was established in 2016 to identify the causes of ARIs. The surveillance system includes 19 governmental hospitals. In response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the World Health Organisation (WHO) requested surveillance adaptation to address the emerging challenges. This study aims to describe the experience in Egypt of adapting ARI surveillance to the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: WHO case definitions were used to identify patients with ARIs. Nasopharyngeal/oropharyngeal swabs were collected for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza testing. Demographic and clinical information were obtained by interviewing patients at the hospitals. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the first two outpatients daily and every fifth admitted patient were enrolled in the study. To determine the status of ARIs in Egypt during the pandemic, patient demographic, clinical and laboratory data from 2020 to 2022 were obtained and descriptive analyses were performed. Results: Overall, 18,160 patients were enrolled in the study, including 7923 (43.6%) seen at outpatient clinics and 10,237 (56.4%) inpatients. Of the study participants, 6453 (35.5%) tested positive for ARIs, including 5620 (87.1%) for SARS-CoV-2, 781 (12.1%) for influenza and 52 (0.8%) for SARS-CoV-2/influenza coinfection. SARS-CoV-2 was the cause for 95.3% of admitted patients and 65.4% of outpatients. Influenza subtypes included A/H3 (55.7%), Influenza-B (29.1%) and H1/pdm09 (14.2%). Compared with influenza, SARS-CoV-2 tended to infect the elderly, in warm weather and in urban governorates, and resulted in more hospitalisations, longer hospital stays and higher case fatalities (16.3% vs 6.6%, p < 0.001). Conclusions: ARI surveillance in Egypt was successfully adapted to the COVID-19 pandemic and effectively described the clinical characteristics and severity of circulating viruses. Surveillance reported the re-emergence of influenza with a severe course and high fatality. Surveillance is essential for monitoring the activity of respiratory viruses with the aim of guiding clinical management, including preventative and control measures.

Epidemiology, Disease Severity and Outcome of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 and Influenza Viruses Coinfection Seen at Egypt Integrated Acute Respiratory Infections Surveillance, 2020-2022.

Background: Cocirculation of influenza (Flu) and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) (SARS-CoV-2/Flu) represent a public health concern as it may worsen the severity and increase fatality from coronavirus disease 2019. An increase in the number of patients with coinfection was recently reported. We studied epidemiology, severity, and outcome of patients with SARS-CoV-2/Flu coinfection seen at Egypt's integrated acute respiratory infections surveillance to better describe disease impact and guide effective preventive measures. Methods: The first two outpatients were seen daily, and every fifth patient admitted to 19 sentinel hospitals with respiratory symptoms was enrolled. Patients were interviewed using a standardized questionnaire and provided nasopharyngeal swabs to be tested for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza by real-time polymerase chain reaction at the central laboratory. Data from all patients with coinfection were obtained, and descriptive data analysis was performed for patients' demographics, clinical course, and outcome. Results: The total number of patients enrolled between January 2020 and April 2022 was 18,160 and 6,453 (35.5%) tested positive for viruses, including 52 (0.8%) coinfection. Of them, 36 (69.2%) were coinfected with Flu A/H3, 9 (17.3%) Flu-B, and 7 (13.5%) Flu A/H1. Patients' mean age was 33.2 ± 21, 55.8% were males, and 20 (38.5%) were hospitalized, with mean hospital days 6.7 ± 6. At the hospital, 14 (70.0%) developed pneumonia, 6 (30.0%) ICU admitted, and 4 (20.0%) died. The hospitalization rate among patients coinfected with Flu-B and Flu A/H3 was 55.6 and 41.7%, with mean hospital days (8.0 ± 6 and 6.4 ± 6), pneumonia infection (40.0 and 80.0%), ICU admission (40.0 and 26.7%), and death (20.0% for both), while no patients hospitalized with A/H1. Conclusions: The recent increase in the number of SARS-CoV-2/Flu coinfections was identified in Egypt. The disease could have a severe course and high fatality, especially in those coinfected with Flu-B and Flu A/H3. Monitoring disease severity and impact is required to guide preventive strategy.

Incidence, risk factors, and whole-genome sequence of SARs-CoV-2 and influenza virus among the Egyptian pilgrims returning from Umrah mass gathering in Saudi Arabia, April-May 2022.

BACKGROUND: Ramadan Umrah is the second largest Islamic pilgrimage with 2.75 million pilgrims allowed in 2022. This report presents the results of a survey among Egyptian pilgrims returning from Ramadan Umrah to monitor SARS-CoV-2 and influenza activity and identify prevalent SARS-CoV-2 variants after this mass gathering. METHODS: Cross-sectional survey conducted at Cairo airport from 30th April 2022-5 th May 2022. Pilgrims were invited to participate voluntarily. After consenting, participants interviewed using questionnaire including demographics, health status, and vaccination information and asked to provide NP/OP swabs for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza testing by RT-PCR. Whole-genome sequencing performed for 29 SARS-CoV-2 isolates. Incidence calculated, descriptive data analysis performed, and SARS-CoV-2 patients were compared to negatively tested participants using chi2 and p value< 0.05. RESULTS: Overall, 1003 subjects participated, their mean age 50.9 ± 13 years, 594 (59.2%) were males. Of them, 76(7.6%) tested positive including 67(6.7%) SARS-CoV-2, 7(0.7%) influenza and 2(0.2%) SARS-CoV-2/influenza coinfection. Omicron sublineage BA.2 was the prevalent variant with no difference in severity identified between BA.1 and BA.2. No difference was identified between COVID-19 incidence among receivers of different vaccine types or between fully vaccinated and booster dose receivers. CONCLUSIONS: Survey indicated a low incidence of SARs-CoV-2 and influenza among Egyptian pilgrims returning from Ramadan Umrah. Patients had mild or no symptoms with no hospitalization or deaths reported. Full vaccination and booster doses of COVID-19 vaccines proved equally effective. Enhancing COVID-19 and influenza vaccination before mass gatherings and close monitoring of respiratory viruses among pilgrims returning from Hajj and Umrah are crucial for outbreak early detection and mitigation.

The COVEG score to predict severity and mortality among hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 severity and mortality predictors could determine admission criteria and reduce mortality. We aimed to evaluate the clinical-laboratory features of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 to develop a novel score of severity and mortality. METHODOLOGY: This retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from patients with COVID-19 who were admitted to five Egyptian university hospitals. Demographics, comorbidities, clinical manifestations, laboratory parameters, the duration of hospitalization, and disease outcome were analyzed, and a score to predict severity and mortality was developed. RESULTS: A total of 1308 patients with COVID-19, with 996 (76.1%) being moderate and 312 (23.9%) being severe cases, were included. The mean age was 46.5 ± 17.1 years, and 61.6% were males. The overall mortality was 12.6%. Regression analysis determined significant predictors, and a ROC curve defined cut-off values. The COVEG severity score was defined by age ≥ 54, D-dimer ≥ 0.795, serum ferritin ≥ 406, C-reactive protein ≥ 30.1, and neutrophil: lymphocyte ratio ≥ 2.88. The COVEG mortality score was based on COVEG severity and the presence of cardiac diseases. Both COVEG scores had high predictive values (area under the curve 0.882 and 0.883, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: COVEG score predicts the severity and mortality of patients with COVID-19 accurately.

Sofosbuvir/ledipasvir in combination or nitazoxanide alone are safe and efficient treatments for COVID-19 infection: A randomized controlled trial for repurposing antivirals.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Currently, there is no therapy approved for COVID-19. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of sofosbuvir/ledipasvir and nitazoxanide for the treatment of patients with COVID-19 infection. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A multicenter, open-label randomized controlled trial included one hundred and ninety patients with non-severe COVID-19 infection. Patients were randomized into three groups. All groups received standard care treatment (SCT). In addition, group 1 received sofosbuvir/ledipasvir, and group 2 received nitazoxanide. Follow-up by reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) was done at intervals of 5, 8, 11, and 14 days. The primary endpoint was viral clearance. RESULTS: Viral clearance was significantly higher in the sofosbuvir/ledipasvir and nitazoxanide groups compared to the SCT group in all follow-up intervals (p < 0.001). In the sofosbuvir/ledipasvir arm, 36.9% showed early viral clearance by day 5. By day 14, 83.1% of the sofosbuvir/ledipasvir group, 39.7% of the nitazoxanide group, and 19.4% of the SCT group tested negative for SARS-CoV-2. Sofosbuvir/ledipasvir and nitazoxanide treatment were the only significant factors in Cox regression of negative RT-PCR with the highest OR (17.88, 95% CI: 6.66-47.98 and 2.59, 95% CI: 1.11-6.07, respectively). No mortality or serious adverse events were recorded. CONCLUSION: The addition of sofosbuvir/ledipasvir or nitazoxanide to the SCT results in an early and high viral clearance rate in mild and moderate patients with COVID-19. These drugs represent a safe and affordable treatment for COVID-19.